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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Kamp ·

Marseille vs Athletic Bilbao

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.95 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr41%
Uafgjort25%
Udesejr34%
Market-based forecastHjemmesejrTier B · 41% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr41% selection probability
Projected score2–1MarseilleAthletic Bilbao
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
41% / 25% / 34%KampresultatHjemmesejr41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Dobbeltchance1274.9%1.34
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Ja 59% · Nej 41%Begge hold scorerJa59%1.69
2.95 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Marseille win41%2.442.2041.2%
Uafgjort25%4.003.6025.2%
Athletic Bilbao win34%2.942.7033.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Marseille1.56

Hjemme share of expected goals 52.9%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Athletic Bilbao1.39

Ude share of expected goals 47.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nej 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Marseille

2.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Point12

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Athletic Bilbao

2.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Point13

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Vundet probability excluding draw
34%
12
Points from supplied form
13
1.56
Expected goals
1.39
MarseilleAthletic Bilbao
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Marseille signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Athletic Bilbao signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Marseille vs Athletic Bilbao FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Marseille vundet 41%,Uafgjort 25%,Athletic Bilbao vundet 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over