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INT Paraguay Women League · Wedstrijd ·

Nacional-Humaita (D) vs Cerro Porteño (D)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–23.48 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst6%
Gelijkspel11%
Uitwinst82%
Market-based forecastUitwinstTier B · 82% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst82% selection probability
Projected score1–2Nacional-Humaita (D)Cerro Porteño (D)
Expected goals3.48Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven69% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
6% / 11% / 82%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst82%1.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nacional-Humaita (D) win (6.4%)Dubbele KansX293.6%1.07
Boven 69% · Onder 31%Goals 2.5Boven69%1.45
Ja 64% · Nee 36%Beide teams scorenJa64%1.56
3.48 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
8.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nacional-Humaita (D) win6%16.6719.004.9%
Gelijkspel11%9.099.509.9%
Cerro Porteño (D) win82%1.221.1085.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nacional-Humaita (D)1.05

Thuis share of expected goals 30.2%

Total expected goals3.48Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 69% · Onder 31%

Cerro Porteño (D)2.43

Uit share of expected goals 69.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 64% · Nee 36%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Nacional-Humaita (D)

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Cerro Porteño (D)

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalUit unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
6%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
82%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.05
Expected goals
2.43
Nacional-Humaita (D)Cerro Porteño (D)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nacional-Humaita (D) signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerro Porteño (D) signalUit unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk18% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 11%.

Match questions

Nacional-Humaita (D) vs Cerro Porteño (D) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 82% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nacional-Humaita (D) gewonnen 6%,Gelijkspel 11%,Cerro Porteño (D) gewonnen 82%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.48 · Boven 2.5 69% · Current selection Boven