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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Wedstrijd ·

Lens vs Sunderland

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.94 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst44%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst30%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 44% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst44% selection probability
Projected score2–1LensSunderland
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven56% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
44% / 25% / 30%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Dubbele Kans1274.6%1.34
Boven 56% · Onder 44%Goals 2.5Boven56%1.79
Ja 60% · Nee 40%Beide teams scorenJa60%1.67
2.94 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lens win44%2.272.0044.7%
Gelijkspel25%4.003.5025.5%
Sunderland win30%3.333.0029.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lens1.61

Thuis share of expected goals 54.8%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 56% · Onder 44%

Sunderland1.33

Uit share of expected goals 45.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nee 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Lens

2.33pts / match
Gespeeld3Wins2Drawn1Losses0Punten7

SignalThuis unbeaten 3/3

Uit-context · form sequence

Sunderland

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/3

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
30%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.61
Expected goals
1.33
LensSunderland
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lens signalThuis unbeaten 3/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sunderland signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/3

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Lens vs Sunderland FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lens gewonnen 44%,Gelijkspel 25%,Sunderland gewonnen 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · Boven 2.5 56% · Current selection Boven