Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 25% / 30%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Double chance1274.6%1.34
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 60% · No 40%Both teams scoreYes60%1.67
2.94 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin11.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lens win44%2.272.0044.7%—
Draw25%4.003.5025.5%—
Sunderland win30%3.333.0029.8%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 54.8%
Total expected goals2.94Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%
Away share of expected goals 45.2%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 60% · No 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.33pts / matchLens
WDW
Played3Wins2Drawn1Losses0Points7
SignalHome unbeaten 3/3
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchSunderland
WLLWD
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/3
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
44%
Win probability excluding draw
30%7
Points from supplied form
71.61
Expected goals
1.33LensSunderland
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Lens vs Sunderland FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Lens win 44%，Draw 25%，Sunderland win 30%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.94 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over。