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BRA Brazilië - Campeonato Mineiro 2 · Wedstrijd ·

Aymores vs Vila Nova MG

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.42 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst46%
Gelijkspel30%
Uitwinst25%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 46% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst46% selection probability
Projected score1–1AymoresVila Nova MG
Expected goals2.42Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder57% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
46% / 30% / 25%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vila Nova MG win (24.7%)Dubbele Kans1X75.3%1.33
Boven 43% · Onder 57%Goals 2.5Onder57%1.75
Ja 49% · Nee 51%Beide teams scorenNee51%1.96
2.42 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aymores win46%2.171.9545.9%
Gelijkspel30%3.333.0029.9%
Vila Nova MG win25%4.003.7024.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aymores1.41

Thuis share of expected goals 58.3%

Total expected goals2.42Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 43% · Onder 57%

Vila Nova MG1.01

Uit share of expected goals 41.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nee 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Aymores

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Vila Nova MG

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
25%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.41
Expected goals
1.01
AymoresVila Nova MG
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aymores signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vila Nova MG signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Aymores vs Vila Nova MG FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aymores gewonnen 46%,Gelijkspel 30%,Vila Nova MG gewonnen 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.42 · Boven 2.5 43% · Current selection Onder