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CHN China Division 2 · Wedstrijd ·

Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves vs Hubei Istar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.97 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst37%
Gelijkspel30%
Uitwinst33%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Chengdu Rongcheng ReservesHubei Istar
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder68% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
37% / 30% / 33%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.1%)Dubbele Kans1269.9%1.43
Boven 32% · Onder 68%Goals 2.5Onder68%1.47
Ja 40% · Nee 60%Beide teams scorenNee60%1.67
1.97 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapChengdu Rongcheng Reserves winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves win37%2.702.4037.4%-0.4 pp
Gelijkspel30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp
Hubei Istar win33%3.032.7532.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves0.92

Thuis share of expected goals 46.7%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 32% · Onder 68%

Hubei Istar1.05

Uit share of expected goals 53.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 40% · Nee 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Hubei Istar

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
33%
5
Points from supplied form
6
0.92
Expected goals
1.05
Chengdu Rongcheng ReservesHubei Istar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hubei Istar signalThuis failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves vs Hubei Istar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves gewonnen 37%,Gelijkspel 30%,Hubei Istar gewonnen 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · Boven 2.5 32% · Current selection Onder