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INT Brazil Copa Sergipe · Wedstrijd ·

America SE vs AA Guarany

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.56 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst38%
Gelijkspel30%
Uitwinst32%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 38% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst38% selection probability
Projected score1–1America SEAA Guarany
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder53% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners0.0Nee corner projection
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
38% / 30% / 32%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.5%)Dubbele Kans1270.5%1.42
Boven 47% · Onder 53%Goals 2.5Onder53%1.89
Ja 53% · Nee 47%Beide teams scorenJa53%1.89
2.56 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
0.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenNee corner projection
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
America SE win38%2.632.4037.4%
Gelijkspel30%3.333.0029.9%
AA Guarany win32%3.132.7532.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

America SE1.38

Thuis share of expected goals 53.9%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 47% · Onder 53%

AA Guarany1.18

Uit share of expected goals 46.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nee 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

America SE

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punten0

SignalThuis failed to score: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

AA Guarany

0.33pts / match
Gespeeld3Wins0Drawn1Losses2Punten1

SignalUit failed to score: 2/3

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
32%
0
Points from supplied form
1
1.38
Expected goals
1.18
America SEAA Guarany
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01America SE signalThuis failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AA Guarany signalUit failed to score: 2/3

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

America SE vs AA Guarany FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

America SE gewonnen 38%,Gelijkspel 30%,AA Guarany gewonnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · Boven 2.5 47% · Current selection Onder