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INT World Club Friendlies · Wedstrijd ·

Melbourne City vs Palermo

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst44%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst31%
Baseline forecastThuiswinstTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Melbourne CityPalermo
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven55% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
44% / 25% / 31%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Dubbele Kans1275.4%1.33
Boven 55% · Onder 45%Goals 2.5Boven55%1.82
Ja 58% · Nee 42%Beide teams scorenJa58%1.72
2.88 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Melbourne City win44%2.27
Gelijkspel25%4.00
Palermo win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Melbourne City1.58

Thuis share of expected goals 54.9%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 55% · Onder 45%

Palermo1.30

Uit share of expected goals 45.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 58% · Nee 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Melbourne City

3.00pts / match
Gespeeld1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Punten3

SignalThuis unbeaten 1/1

Uit-context · form sequence

Palermo

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld4Wins1Drawn1Losses2Punten4

SignalUit failed to score: 2/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
31%
3
Points from supplied form
4
1.58
Expected goals
1.30
Melbourne CityPalermo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Melbourne City signalThuis unbeaten 1/1

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Palermo signalUit failed to score: 2/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Melbourne City vs Palermo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Melbourne City gewonnen 44%,Gelijkspel 25%,Palermo gewonnen 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Boven 2.5 55% · Current selection Boven