Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 25% / 31%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Double chance1275.4%1.33
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72
2.88 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Melbourne City win44%2.27
Draw25%4.00
Palermo win31%3.23
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 54.9%
Total expected goals2.88Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%
Away share of expected goals 45.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
3.00pts / matchMelbourne City
W
Played1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Points3
SignalHome unbeaten 1/1
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchPalermo
DWLL
Played4Wins1Drawn1Losses2Points4
SignalAway failed to score: 2/4
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
44%
Win probability excluding draw
31%3
Points from supplied form
41.58
Expected goals
1.30Melbourne CityPalermo
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Melbourne City vs Palermo FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Melbourne City win 44%，Draw 25%，Palermo win 31%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.88 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over。