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UTC+8
TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
NOR Noorwegen - 2. Divisjon - Groep 1 · Wedstrijd ·

Bjarg vs Sotra

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.48 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst42%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst34%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst42% selection probability
Projected score1–1BjargSotra
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder55% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
42% / 25% / 34%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Dubbele Kans1275.3%1.33
Boven 45% · Onder 55%Goals 2.5Onder55%1.82
Ja 50% · Nee 50%Beide teams scorenNee50%2.00
2.48 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapSotra winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Bjarg win42%2.382.1042.9%-0.9 pp
Gelijkspel25%4.003.7024.3%+0.7 pp
Sotra win34%2.942.7532.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bjarg1.04

Thuis share of expected goals 41.9%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 45% · Onder 55%

Sotra1.44

Uit share of expected goals 58.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nee 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Bjarg

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis won 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Sotra

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
34%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.04
Expected goals
1.44
BjargSotra
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bjarg signalThuis won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sotra signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Bjarg vs Sotra FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bjarg gewonnen 42%,Gelijkspel 25%,Sotra gewonnen 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · Boven 2.5 45% · Current selection Onder