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AME Copa Sudamericana · Wedstrijd ·

Cienciano vs Botafogo

Archived pre-match prediction

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.31 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst44%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst28%
Baseline forecastThuiswinstTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst44% selection probability
Projected score1–1CiencianoBotafogo
Expected goals2.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder59% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
44% / 28% / 28%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Dubbele Kans1272.2%1.39
Boven 41% · Onder 59%Goals 2.5Onder59%1.69
Ja 46% · Nee 54%Beide teams scorenNee54%1.85
2.31 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Cienciano win44%2.27
Gelijkspel28%3.57
Botafogo win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cienciano1.32

Thuis share of expected goals 57.1%

Total expected goals2.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 41% · Onder 59%

Botafogo0.99

Uit share of expected goals 42.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nee 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Cienciano

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Botafogo

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.32
Expected goals
0.99
CiencianoBotafogo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cienciano signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Botafogo signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Cienciano vs Botafogo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cienciano gewonnen 44%,Gelijkspel 28%,Botafogo gewonnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.31 · Boven 2.5 41% · Current selection Onder