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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Wedstrijd ·

Aldosivi vs Tigre

Archived pre-match prediction

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.61 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst24%
Gelijkspel35%
Uitwinst41%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst41% selection probability
Projected score1–1AldosiviTigre
Expected goals1.61Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder78% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee71% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
24% / 35% / 41%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Aldosivi win (24.2%)Dubbele KansX275.8%1.32
Boven 22% · Onder 78%Goals 2.5Onder78%1.28
Ja 29% · Nee 71%Beide teams scorenNee71%1.41
1.61 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Aldosivi win24%4.17
Gelijkspel35%2.86
Tigre win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aldosivi0.59

Thuis share of expected goals 36.6%

Total expected goals1.61Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 22% · Onder 78%

Tigre1.02

Uit share of expected goals 63.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 29% · Nee 71%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Aldosivi

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Tigre

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalUit clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
41%
4
Points from supplied form
7
0.59
Expected goals
1.02
AldosiviTigre
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aldosivi signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tigre signalUit clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

Aldosivi vs Tigre FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aldosivi gewonnen 24%,Gelijkspel 35%,Tigre gewonnen 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.61 · Boven 2.5 22% · Current selection Onder