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ROU Roemenië - Liga 1 · Wedstrijd ·

Petrolul Ploiesti vs Otelul Galati

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.25 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst31%
Gelijkspel31%
Uitwinst38%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Petrolul PloiestiOtelul Galati
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder61% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
31% / 31% / 38%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.7%)Dubbele Kans1269.3%1.44
Boven 39% · Onder 61%Goals 2.5Onder61%1.64
Ja 46% · Nee 54%Beide teams scorenNee54%1.85
2.25 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Petrolul Ploiesti win31%3.23
Gelijkspel31%3.23
Otelul Galati win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Petrolul Ploiesti1.03

Thuis share of expected goals 45.8%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 39% · Onder 61%

Otelul Galati1.22

Uit share of expected goals 54.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nee 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Petrolul Ploiesti

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Otelul Galati

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalThuis failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
38%
4
Points from supplied form
11
1.03
Expected goals
1.22
Petrolul PloiestiOtelul Galati
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Petrolul Ploiesti signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Otelul Galati signalThuis failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Petrolul Ploiesti vs Otelul Galati FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Petrolul Ploiesti gewonnen 31%,Gelijkspel 31%,Otelul Galati gewonnen 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Boven 2.5 39% · Current selection Onder