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JPN Japan - J2 League · Wedstrijd ·

Omiya Ardija vs Albirex Niigata

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst42%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst30%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 42% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Omiya ArdijaAlbirex Niigata
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder53% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
42% / 28% / 30%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Dubbele Kans1272.3%1.38
Boven 47% · Onder 53%Goals 2.5Onder53%1.89
Ja 53% · Nee 47%Beide teams scorenJa53%1.89
2.57 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Omiya Ardija win42%2.382.1542.6%
Gelijkspel28%3.573.3027.8%
Albirex Niigata win30%3.333.1029.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Omiya Ardija1.41

Thuis share of expected goals 54.9%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 47% · Onder 53%

Albirex Niigata1.16

Uit share of expected goals 45.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nee 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Omiya Ardija

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Albirex Niigata

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
30%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.41
Expected goals
1.16
Omiya ArdijaAlbirex Niigata
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Omiya Ardija signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Albirex Niigata signalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Omiya Ardija vs Albirex Niigata FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Omiya Ardija gewonnen 42%,Gelijkspel 28%,Albirex Niigata gewonnen 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Boven 2.5 47% · Current selection Onder