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大宮アルディージャ vs アルビレックス新潟

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利42%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利30%
Market-based forecastホーム勝利Tier B · 42% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利42% selection probability
Projected score1–1大宮アルディージャアルビレックス新潟
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー53% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
42% / 28% / 30%試合結果ホーム勝利42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)ダブルチャンス1272.3%1.38
オーバー 47% · アンダー 53%Goals 2.5アンダー53%1.89
はい 53% · いいえ 47%両チーム得点はい53%1.89
2.57 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.9 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimなし
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
大宮アルディージャ win42%2.382.1542.6%
引き分け28%3.573.3027.8%
アルビレックス新潟 win30%3.333.1029.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

大宮アルディージャ1.41

ホーム share of expected goals 54.9%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 47% · アンダー 53%

アルビレックス新潟1.16

アウェイ share of expected goals 45.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 53% · いいえ 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

大宮アルディージャ

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アルビレックス新潟

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
勝ち probability excluding draw
30%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.41
Expected goals
1.16
大宮アルディージャアルビレックス新潟
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01大宮アルディージャ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アルビレックス新潟 signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

大宮アルディージャ vs アルビレックス新潟 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

大宮アルディージャ 勝ち 42%,引き分け 28%,アルビレックス新潟 勝ち 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · オーバー 2.5 47% · Current selection アンダー