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ESP Spanje - La Liga · Wedstrijd ·

Deportivo de La Coruña vs Elche

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.69 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst48%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst27%
Baseline forecastThuiswinstTier C · 48% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Deportivo de La CoruñaElche
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven50% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
48% / 25% / 27%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Dubbele Kans1274.9%1.34
Boven 50% · Onder 50%Goals 2.5Boven50%2.00
Ja 53% · Nee 47%Beide teams scorenJa53%1.89
2.69 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Deportivo de La Coruña win48%2.08
Gelijkspel25%4.00
Elche win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo de La Coruña1.57

Thuis share of expected goals 58.4%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 50% · Onder 50%

Elche1.12

Uit share of expected goals 41.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nee 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Deportivo de La Coruña

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Elche

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
27%
12
Points from supplied form
5
1.57
Expected goals
1.12
Deportivo de La CoruñaElche
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo de La Coruña signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Elche signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Deportivo de La Coruña vs Elche FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo de La Coruña gewonnen 48%,Gelijkspel 25%,Elche gewonnen 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Boven 2.5 50% · Current selection Boven