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ESP Spanien - La Liga · Spiel ·

Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.69 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg48%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg27%
Baseline forecastHeimsiegTier C · 48% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Deportivo La CorunaElche
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über50% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
48% / 25% / 27%SpielergebnisHeimsieg48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Doppelte Chance1274.9%1.34
Über 50% · Unter 50%Goals 2.5Über50%2.00
Ja 53% · Nein 47%Beide Teams treffenJa53%1.89
2.69 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.5 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Deportivo La Coruna win48%2.08
Unentschieden25%4.00
Elche win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo La Coruna1.57

Heim share of expected goals 58.4%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 50% · Unter 50%

Elche1.12

Auswärts share of expected goals 41.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nein 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Deportivo La Coruna

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Elche

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
27%
12
Points from supplied form
5
1.57
Expected goals
1.12
Deportivo La CorunaElche
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo La Coruna signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Elche signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo La Coruna Gewinn 48%,Unentschieden 25%,Elche Gewinn 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Über 2.5 50% · Current selection Über