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ENG Engeland - EFL Cup · Wedstrijd ·

Plymouth vs Exeter

Archived pre-match prediction

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.70 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst60%
Gelijkspel22%
Uitwinst19%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 60% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst60% selection probability
Projected score2–1PlymouthExeter
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven51% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
60% / 22% / 19%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Exeter win (18.6%)Dubbele Kans1X81.4%1.23
Boven 51% · Onder 49%Goals 2.5Boven51%1.96
Ja 53% · Nee 47%Beide teams scorenJa53%1.89
2.70 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Plymouth win60%1.671.5062.3%
Gelijkspel22%4.554.5020.8%
Exeter win19%5.265.5017%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Plymouth1.70

Thuis share of expected goals 63%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 51% · Onder 49%

Exeter1.00

Uit share of expected goals 37%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nee 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Plymouth

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Exeter

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
19%
11
Points from supplied form
6
1.70
Expected goals
1.00
PlymouthExeter
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Plymouth signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Exeter signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Plymouth vs Exeter FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Plymouth gewonnen 60%,Gelijkspel 22%,Exeter gewonnen 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Boven 2.5 51% · Current selection Boven