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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
ENG Engeland - EFL Cup · Wedstrijd ·

Derby vs Lincoln City

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.70 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst46%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst28%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 46% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst46% selection probability
Projected score1–1DerbyLincoln City
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven51% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
46% / 26% / 28%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Dubbele Kans1274%1.35
Boven 51% · Onder 49%Goals 2.5Boven51%1.96
Ja 55% · Nee 45%Beide teams scorenJa55%1.82
2.70 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Derby win46%2.172.0046.6%
Gelijkspel26%3.853.6025.9%
Lincoln City win28%3.573.4027.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Derby1.49

Thuis share of expected goals 55.2%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 51% · Onder 49%

Lincoln City1.21

Uit share of expected goals 44.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nee 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Derby

0.50pts / match
Gespeeld2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Punten1

SignalNee recent signal

Uit-context · form sequence

Lincoln City

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Punten6

SignalNee recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
28%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.49
Expected goals
1.21
DerbyLincoln City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Derby signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lincoln City signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Derby vs Lincoln City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Derby gewonnen 46%,Gelijkspel 26%,Lincoln City gewonnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Boven 2.5 51% · Current selection Boven