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ENG Inglaterra - EFL Cup · Partido ·

Derby vs Lincoln City

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.70 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local46%
Empate26%
Victoria visitante28%
Market-based forecastVictoria localTier B · 46% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local46% selection probability
Projected score1–1DerbyLincoln City
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de51% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
46% / 26% / 28%Resultado del partidoVictoria local46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Doble Oportunidad1274%1.35
Más de 51% · Menos de 49%Goals 2.5Más de51%1.96
Sí 55% · No 45%Ambos equipos marcan55%1.82
2.70 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNinguno
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Derby win46%2.172.0046.6%
Empate26%3.853.6025.9%
Lincoln City win28%3.573.4027.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Derby1.49

Local share of expected goals 55.2%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 51% · Menos de 49%

Lincoln City1.21

Visitante share of expected goals 44.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Derby

0.50pts / match
Jugados2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Puntos1

SignalNo recent signal

Visitante-context · form sequence

Lincoln City

2.00pts / match
Jugados3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Puntos6

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Ganado probability excluding draw
28%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.49
Expected goals
1.21
DerbyLincoln City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Derby signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lincoln City signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Derby vs Lincoln City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Derby ganada 46%,Empate 26%,Lincoln City ganada 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Más de 2.5 51% · Current selection Más de