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POL Poland I Liga · Wedstrijd ·

Termalica BB Nieciecza vs Warta Poznań

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.89 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst41%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst34%
Baseline forecastThuiswinstTier C · 41% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst41% selection probability
Projected score2–1Termalica BB NiecieczaWarta Poznań
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven55% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners11.3Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
41% / 25% / 34%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.8%)Dubbele Kans1275.2%1.33
Boven 55% · Onder 45%Goals 2.5Boven55%1.82
Ja 58% · Nee 42%Beide teams scorenJa58%1.72
2.89 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
11.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Termalica BB Nieciecza win41%2.44
Gelijkspel25%4.00
Warta Poznań win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Termalica BB Nieciecza1.53

Thuis share of expected goals 52.9%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 55% · Onder 45%

Warta Poznań1.36

Uit share of expected goals 47.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 58% · Nee 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Termalica BB Nieciecza

2.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Warta Poznań

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
34%
13
Points from supplied form
3
1.53
Expected goals
1.36
Termalica BB NiecieczaWarta Poznań
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Termalica BB Nieciecza signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Warta Poznań signalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Termalica BB Nieciecza vs Warta Poznań FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Termalica BB Nieciecza gewonnen 41%,Gelijkspel 25%,Warta Poznań gewonnen 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · Boven 2.5 55% · Current selection Boven