Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
52% / 28% / 21%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sabadell win (20.8%)Dubbele Kans1X79.2%1.26
Boven 48% · Onder 52%Goals 2.5Onder52%1.92
Ja 53% · Nee 47%Beide teams scorenJa53%1.89
2.61 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
9.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin6.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sporting Gijon win52%1.921.8052.4%—
Gelijkspel28%3.573.4027.7%—
Sabadell win21%4.764.7519.9%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 60.9%
Total expected goals2.61Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 48% · Onder 52%
Uit share of expected goals 39.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nee 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchSporting Gijon
LLWWW
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9
SignalThuis won 3/5
Uit-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchSabadell
WDDWW
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
52%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
21%9
Points from supplied form
111.59
Expected goals
1.02Sporting GijonSabadell
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Sporting Gijon vs Sabadell FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Sporting Gijon gewonnen 52%，Gelijkspel 28%，Sabadell gewonnen 21%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.61 · Boven 2.5 48% · Current selection Onder。