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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
NLD Nederland - Eerste divisie · Wedstrijd ·

RKC Waalwijk vs Jong PSV

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.57 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst53%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst23%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst53% selection probability
Projected score2–1RKC WaalwijkJong PSV
Expected goals3.57Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven69% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
53% / 23% / 23%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.1%)Dubbele Kans1276.9%1.30
Boven 69% · Onder 31%Goals 2.5Boven69%1.45
Ja 68% · Nee 32%Beide teams scorenJa68%1.47
3.57 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.8%Largest probability gapRKC Waalwijk winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
RKC Waalwijk win53%1.891.7353.6%-0.6 pp
Gelijkspel23%4.354.0023.2%-0.2 pp
Jong PSV win23%4.354.0023.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

RKC Waalwijk2.07

Thuis share of expected goals 58%

Total expected goals3.57Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 69% · Onder 31%

Jong PSV1.50

Uit share of expected goals 42%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 68% · Nee 32%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

RKC Waalwijk

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Jong PSV

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
23%
6
Points from supplied form
6
2.07
Expected goals
1.50
RKC WaalwijkJong PSV
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01RKC Waalwijk signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Jong PSV signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

RKC Waalwijk vs Jong PSV FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

RKC Waalwijk gewonnen 53%,Gelijkspel 23%,Jong PSV gewonnen 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.57 · Boven 2.5 69% · Current selection Boven