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JPN Japan - J2 League · Wedstrijd ·

Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.52 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst38%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst34%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 38% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Montedio YamagataTochigi City
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder54% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
38% / 29% / 34%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.5%)Dubbele Kans1271.5%1.40
Boven 46% · Onder 54%Goals 2.5Onder54%1.85
Ja 52% · Nee 48%Beide teams scorenJa52%1.92
2.52 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Montedio Yamagata win38%2.632.5037.3%
Gelijkspel29%3.453.2528.7%
Tochigi City win34%2.942.7533.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Montedio Yamagata1.31

Thuis share of expected goals 52%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 46% · Onder 54%

Tochigi City1.21

Uit share of expected goals 48%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nee 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Montedio Yamagata

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Tochigi City

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
34%
10
Points from supplied form
10
1.31
Expected goals
1.21
Montedio YamagataTochigi City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Montedio Yamagata signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tochigi City signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Montedio Yamagata gewonnen 38%,Gelijkspel 29%,Tochigi City gewonnen 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Boven 2.5 46% · Current selection Onder