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ZAF Zuid-Afrika - Supa 8 Cup · Final ·

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score2–2Voorspelling 1–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst44%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst29%
Baseline forecastThuiswinstTier C · 44% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Mamelodi SundownsPolokwane City
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder54% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners0.0Nee corner projection
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
44% / 27% / 29%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Dubbele Kans1273.4%1.36
Boven 46% · Onder 54%Goals 2.5Onder54%1.85
Ja 50% · Nee 50%Beide teams scorenJa50%2.00
2.51 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
0.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenNee corner projection
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Mamelodi Sundowns win44%2.27
Gelijkspel27%3.70
Polokwane City win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mamelodi Sundowns1.41

Thuis share of expected goals 56.2%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 46% · Onder 54%

Polokwane City1.10

Uit share of expected goals 43.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nee 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Mamelodi Sundowns

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Polokwane City

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Punten0

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
0
1.41
Expected goals
1.10
Mamelodi SundownsPolokwane City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mamelodi Sundowns signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Polokwane City signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mamelodi Sundowns gewonnen 44%,Gelijkspel 27%,Polokwane City gewonnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Boven 2.5 46% · Current selection Onder