MatchFormula Zoek een wedstrijd
Menu
UTC+8
TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
EUR Europe Friendlies · Wedstrijd ·

Mainz vs Paris FC

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.27 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst48%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst28%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 48% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst48% selection probability
Projected score2–1MainzParis FC
Expected goals3.27Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven63% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
48% / 24% / 28%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.9%)Dubbele Kans1276.1%1.31
Boven 63% · Onder 37%Goals 2.5Boven63%1.59
Ja 65% · Nee 35%Beide teams scorenJa65%1.54
3.27 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mainz win48%2.081.8548.7%
Gelijkspel24%4.173.7524%
Paris FC win28%3.573.3027.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mainz1.86

Thuis share of expected goals 56.9%

Total expected goals3.27Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 63% · Onder 37%

Paris FC1.41

Uit share of expected goals 43.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 65% · Nee 35%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Mainz

1.67pts / match
Gespeeld3Wins1Drawn2Losses0Punten5

SignalThuis unbeaten 3/3

Uit-context · form sequence

Paris FC

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Punten4

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/3

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
28%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.86
Expected goals
1.41
MainzParis FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mainz signalThuis unbeaten 3/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Paris FC signalThuis clean sheets: 2/3

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Mainz vs Paris FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mainz gewonnen 48%,Gelijkspel 24%,Paris FC gewonnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Boven 2.5 63% · Current selection Boven