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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
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FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Wedstrijd ·

KuPS Kuopio vs TPS

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.34 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst64%
Gelijkspel22%
Uitwinst14%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst64% selection probability
Projected score2–1KuPS KuopioTPS
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder58% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
64% / 22% / 14%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes TPS win (14.3%)Dubbele Kans1X85.7%1.17
Boven 42% · Onder 58%Goals 2.5Onder58%1.72
Ja 40% · Nee 60%Beide teams scorenNee60%1.67
2.34 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
KuPS Kuopio win64%1.561.4064.2%-0.2 pp
Gelijkspel22%4.554.2021.4%+0.6 pp
TPS win14%7.146.2514.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KuPS Kuopio1.68

Thuis share of expected goals 71.8%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 42% · Onder 58%

TPS0.66

Uit share of expected goals 28.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 40% · Nee 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

KuPS Kuopio

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

TPS

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
14%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.68
Expected goals
0.66
KuPS KuopioTPS
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KuPS Kuopio signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02TPS signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

KuPS Kuopio vs TPS FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KuPS Kuopio gewonnen 64%,Gelijkspel 22%,TPS gewonnen 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Boven 2.5 42% · Current selection Onder