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SWE Sweden Allsvenskan · Wedstrijd ·

IFK Goteborg vs Kalmar FF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.45 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst39%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst34%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst39% selection probability
Projected score1–1IFK GoteborgKalmar FF
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder56% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
39% / 28% / 34%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Dubbele Kans1272.4%1.38
Boven 44% · Onder 56%Goals 2.5Onder56%1.79
Ja 50% · Nee 50%Beide teams scorenJa50%2.00
2.45 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
10.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapKalmar FF winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
IFK Goteborg win39%2.562.4039%0.0 pp
Gelijkspel28%3.573.4027.5%+0.5 pp
Kalmar FF win34%2.942.8033.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IFK Goteborg1.22

Thuis share of expected goals 49.8%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 44% · Onder 56%

Kalmar FF1.23

Uit share of expected goals 50.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nee 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

IFK Goteborg

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Kalmar FF

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalUit unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
34%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.22
Expected goals
1.23
IFK GoteborgKalmar FF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IFK Goteborg signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kalmar FF signalUit unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

IFK Goteborg vs Kalmar FF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IFK Goteborg gewonnen 39%,Gelijkspel 28%,Kalmar FF gewonnen 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · Boven 2.5 44% · Current selection Onder