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POL Poland II Liga · Wedstrijd ·

Podhale Nowy Targ vs Hutnik Krakow

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.99 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst36%
Gelijkspel32%
Uitwinst32%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Podhale Nowy TargHutnik Krakow
Expected goals1.99Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder68% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
36% / 32% / 32%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hutnik Krakow win (31.5%)Dubbele Kans1X68.5%1.46
Boven 32% · Onder 68%Goals 2.5Onder68%1.47
Ja 40% · Nee 60%Beide teams scorenNee60%1.67
1.99 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
10.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Podhale Nowy Targ win36%2.78
Gelijkspel32%3.13
Hutnik Krakow win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Podhale Nowy Targ1.06

Thuis share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals1.99Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 32% · Onder 68%

Hutnik Krakow0.93

Uit share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 40% · Nee 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Podhale Nowy Targ

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis won 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Hutnik Krakow

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
32%
9
Points from supplied form
8
1.06
Expected goals
0.93
Podhale Nowy TargHutnik Krakow
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Podhale Nowy Targ signalThuis won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hutnik Krakow signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Podhale Nowy Targ vs Hutnik Krakow FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Podhale Nowy Targ gewonnen 36%,Gelijkspel 32%,Hutnik Krakow gewonnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.99 · Boven 2.5 32% · Current selection Onder