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POL Poland II Liga · Spiel ·

Podhale Nowy Targ vs Hutnik Krakow

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–11.99 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg48%
Unentschieden27%
Auswärtssieg25%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg48% selection probability
Projected score1–1Podhale Nowy TargHutnik Krakow
Expected goals1.99Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter68% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
48% / 27% / 25%SpielergebnisHeimsieg48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hutnik Krakow win (25.4%)Doppelte Chance1X74.6%1.34
Über 32% · Unter 68%Goals 2.5Unter68%1.47
Ja 40% · Nein 60%Beide Teams treffenNein60%1.67
1.99 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
10.9 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapPodhale Nowy Targ winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Podhale Nowy Targ win48%2.081.8548.6%-0.6 pp
Unentschieden27%3.703.4026.4%+0.6 pp
Hutnik Krakow win25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Podhale Nowy Targ1.06

Heim share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals1.99Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 32% · Unter 68%

Hutnik Krakow0.93

Auswärts share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 40% · Nein 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Podhale Nowy Targ

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim won 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Hutnik Krakow

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
25%
9
Points from supplied form
8
1.06
Expected goals
0.93
Podhale Nowy TargHutnik Krakow
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Podhale Nowy Targ signalHeim won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hutnik Krakow signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Podhale Nowy Targ vs Hutnik Krakow FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Podhale Nowy Targ Gewinn 48%,Unentschieden 27%,Hutnik Krakow Gewinn 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.99 · Über 2.5 32% · Current selection Unter