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ARG Argentina Championship Women · Wedstrijd ·

Lanus (D) vs Gimnasia LP (D)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.50 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst30%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst41%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lanus (D)Gimnasia LP (D)
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder54% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
30% / 29% / 41%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)Dubbele Kans1270.6%1.42
Boven 46% · Onder 54%Goals 2.5Onder54%1.85
Ja 51% · Nee 49%Beide teams scorenJa51%1.96
2.50 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
7.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Lanus (D) win30%3.33
Gelijkspel29%3.45
Gimnasia LP (D) win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lanus (D)1.08

Thuis share of expected goals 43.2%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 46% · Onder 54%

Gimnasia LP (D)1.42

Uit share of expected goals 56.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nee 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Lanus (D)

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Gimnasia LP (D)

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
41%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.08
Expected goals
1.42
Lanus (D)Gimnasia LP (D)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lanus (D) signalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gimnasia LP (D) signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Lanus (D) vs Gimnasia LP (D) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lanus (D) gewonnen 30%,Gelijkspel 29%,Gimnasia LP (D) gewonnen 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Boven 2.5 46% · Current selection Onder