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LTU Litouwen - 1 Lyga · Final ·

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II vs FK Transinvest II

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score4–3Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst61%
Gelijkspel21%
Uitwinst19%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 61% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst61% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK Zalgiris Vilnius IIFK Transinvest II
Expected goals3.40Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven66% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
61% / 21% / 19%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Transinvest II win (18.7%)Dubbele Kans1X81.3%1.23
Boven 66% · Onder 34%Goals 2.5Boven66%1.52
Ja 61% · Nee 39%Beide teams scorenJa61%1.64
3.40 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
11.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapFK Zalgiris Vilnius II winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II win61%1.641.4860.5%+0.5 pp
Gelijkspel21%4.764.3320.7%+0.3 pp
FK Transinvest II win19%5.264.7518.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II2.26

Thuis share of expected goals 66.5%

Total expected goals3.40Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 66% · Onder 34%

FK Transinvest II1.14

Uit share of expected goals 33.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nee 39%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II

2.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

FK Transinvest II

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
19%
13
Points from supplied form
4
2.26
Expected goals
1.14
FK Zalgiris Vilnius IIFK Transinvest II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Zalgiris Vilnius II signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Transinvest II signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II vs FK Transinvest II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II gewonnen 61%,Gelijkspel 21%,FK Transinvest II gewonnen 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.40 · Boven 2.5 66% · Current selection Boven