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IRL Ierland - Leinster Senior League · Wedstrijd ·

Finglas United vs Killester Donnycarney FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.74 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst44%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst33%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst44% selection probability
Projected score2–2Finglas UnitedKillester Donnycarney FC
Expected goals3.74Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven72% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa71% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
44% / 23% / 33%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23%)Dubbele Kans1277%1.30
Boven 72% · Onder 28%Goals 2.5Boven72%1.39
Ja 71% · Nee 29%Beide teams scorenJa71%1.41
3.74 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
9.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapKillester Donnycarney FC winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Finglas United win44%2.272.0544%0.0 pp
Gelijkspel23%4.353.9023.1%-0.1 pp
Killester Donnycarney FC win33%3.032.7532.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Finglas United2.06

Thuis share of expected goals 55.1%

Total expected goals3.74Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 72% · Onder 28%

Killester Donnycarney FC1.68

Uit share of expected goals 44.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 71% · Nee 29%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Finglas United

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Killester Donnycarney FC

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalUit unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
33%
6
Points from supplied form
12
2.06
Expected goals
1.68
Finglas UnitedKillester Donnycarney FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Finglas United signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Killester Donnycarney FC signalUit unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Finglas United vs Killester Donnycarney FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Finglas United gewonnen 44%,Gelijkspel 23%,Killester Donnycarney FC gewonnen 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.74 · Boven 2.5 72% · Current selection Boven