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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
FRA Frankrijk - Ligue 2 · Round 3 ·

Nancy vs Dunkerque

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–22.94 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst27%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst45%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst45% selection probability
Projected score1–2NancyDunkerque
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven56% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
27% / 27% / 45%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.2%)Dubbele Kans1272.8%1.37
Boven 56% · Onder 44%Goals 2.5Boven56%1.79
Ja 57% · Nee 43%Beide teams scorenJa57%1.75
2.94 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
8.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Nancy win27%3.70
Gelijkspel27%3.70
Dunkerque win45%2.22

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nancy1.16

Thuis share of expected goals 39.5%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 56% · Onder 44%

Dunkerque1.78

Uit share of expected goals 60.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 57% · Nee 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Nancy

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Dunkerque

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
45%
8
Points from supplied form
10
1.16
Expected goals
1.78
NancyDunkerque
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nancy signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dunkerque signalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Nancy vs Dunkerque FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nancy gewonnen 27%,Gelijkspel 27%,Dunkerque gewonnen 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · Boven 2.5 56% · Current selection Boven