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SVK Slowakije - 3. Liga · Wedstrijd ·

MSK Senec vs Dunajska Streda B

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.41 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst48%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst24%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst48% selection probability
Projected score2–1MSK SenecDunajska Streda B
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder57% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
48% / 29% / 24%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dunajska Streda B win (23.6%)Dubbele Kans1X76.4%1.31
Boven 43% · Onder 57%Goals 2.5Onder57%1.75
Ja 45% · Nee 55%Beide teams scorenNee55%1.82
2.41 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
MSK Senec win48%2.08
Gelijkspel29%3.45
Dunajska Streda B win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSK Senec1.58

Thuis share of expected goals 65.6%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 43% · Onder 57%

Dunajska Streda B0.83

Uit share of expected goals 34.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nee 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

MSK Senec

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Dunajska Streda B

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punten3

SignalThuis won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.58
Expected goals
0.83
MSK SenecDunajska Streda B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSK Senec signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dunajska Streda B signalThuis won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

MSK Senec vs Dunajska Streda B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSK Senec gewonnen 48%,Gelijkspel 29%,Dunajska Streda B gewonnen 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · Boven 2.5 43% · Current selection Onder