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PRY Paraguay - Division Intermedia · Round 14 ·

Deportivo Capiata vs Sol de America

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.15 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst31%
Gelijkspel31%
Uitwinst38%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo CapiataSol de America
Expected goals2.15Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder64% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
31% / 31% / 38%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Capiata win (30.9%)Dubbele KansX269.1%1.45
Boven 36% · Onder 64%Goals 2.5Onder64%1.56
Ja 43% · Nee 57%Beide teams scorenNee57%1.75
2.15 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Deportivo Capiata win31%3.23
Gelijkspel31%3.23
Sol de America win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Capiata0.97

Thuis share of expected goals 45.1%

Total expected goals2.15Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 36% · Onder 64%

Sol de America1.18

Uit share of expected goals 54.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nee 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Deportivo Capiata

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punten3

SignalUit unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Sol de America

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn5Losses0Punten5

SignalUit matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
38%
3
Points from supplied form
5
0.97
Expected goals
1.18
Deportivo CapiataSol de America
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Capiata signalUit unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sol de America signalUit matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Deportivo Capiata vs Sol de America FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Capiata gewonnen 31%,Gelijkspel 31%,Sol de America gewonnen 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.15 · Boven 2.5 36% · Current selection Onder