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BEL België - Eerste klasse A · Final ·

Club Brugge vs Cercle Brugge

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score1–0Voorspelling 3–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst74%
Gelijkspel16%
Uitwinst9%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 74% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst74% selection probability
Projected score3–1Club BruggeCercle Brugge
Expected goals4.62Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven84% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa69% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
74% / 16% / 9%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cercle Brugge win (9.3%)Dubbele Kans1X90.7%1.10
Boven 84% · Onder 16%Goals 2.5Boven84%1.19
Ja 69% · Nee 31%Beide teams scorenJa69%1.45
4.62 total expected goalsExacte score3–1
11.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Club Brugge win74%1.351.2573.9%+0.1 pp
Gelijkspel16%6.255.5016.8%-0.8 pp
Cercle Brugge win9%11.1110.009.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Club Brugge3.38

Thuis share of expected goals 73.2%

Total expected goals4.62Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 84% · Onder 16%

Cercle Brugge1.24

Uit share of expected goals 26.8%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 69% · Nee 31%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Club Brugge

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Cercle Brugge

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punten3

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
74%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
9%
12
Points from supplied form
3
3.38
Expected goals
1.24
Club BruggeCercle Brugge
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Club Brugge signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cercle Brugge signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Club Brugge vs Cercle Brugge FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 3–1 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Club Brugge gewonnen 74%,Gelijkspel 16%,Cercle Brugge gewonnen 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.62 · Boven 2.5 84% · Current selection Boven