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INT Portugal Liga 3 · Final ·

Caldas SC vs Louletano DC

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score2–4Voorspelling 1–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst42%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst30%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 42% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Caldas SCLouletano DC
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder60% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
42% / 28% / 30%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Dubbele Kans1272.1%1.39
Boven 40% · Onder 60%Goals 2.5Onder60%1.67
Ja 46% · Nee 54%Beide teams scorenNee54%1.85
2.28 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Caldas SC win42%2.382.1042.4%
Gelijkspel28%3.573.2027.9%
Louletano DC win30%3.333.0029.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caldas SC1.26

Thuis share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 40% · Onder 60%

Louletano DC1.02

Uit share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nee 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Caldas SC

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punten3

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Louletano DC

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
30%
3
Points from supplied form
5
1.26
Expected goals
1.02
Caldas SCLouletano DC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caldas SC signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Louletano DC signalThuis unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Caldas SC vs Louletano DC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caldas SC gewonnen 42%,Gelijkspel 28%,Louletano DC gewonnen 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Boven 2.5 40% · Current selection Onder