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EUR UEFA Europa League - Kwalificatie · Final ·

Besiktas vs FK Kauno Zalgiris

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score3–0Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst81%
Gelijkspel13%
Uitwinst6%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 81% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst81% selection probability
Projected score2–1BesiktasFK Kauno Zalgiris
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven54% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
81% / 13% / 6%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst81%1.23
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Kauno Zalgiris win (5.6%)Dubbele Kans1X94.4%1.06
Boven 54% · Onder 46%Goals 2.5Boven54%1.85
Ja 49% · Nee 51%Beide teams scorenNee51%1.96
2.78 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Besiktas win81%1.231.1183.9%
Gelijkspel13%7.698.0011.6%
FK Kauno Zalgiris win6%16.6721.004.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Besiktas2.06

Thuis share of expected goals 74.1%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 54% · Onder 46%

FK Kauno Zalgiris0.72

Uit share of expected goals 25.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nee 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Besiktas

3.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punten15

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

FK Kauno Zalgiris

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
81%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
6%
15
Points from supplied form
7
2.06
Expected goals
0.72
BesiktasFK Kauno Zalgiris
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Besiktas signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Kauno Zalgiris signalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk19% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 13%.

Match questions

Besiktas vs FK Kauno Zalgiris FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 81% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Besiktas gewonnen 81%,Gelijkspel 13%,FK Kauno Zalgiris gewonnen 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · Boven 2.5 54% · Current selection Boven