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EUR Europa - Vriendschappelijke wedstrijden · Final ·

UCAM Murcia CF vs Atlético Santa Cruz

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score2–1Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst63%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst13%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 63% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst63% selection probability
Projected score2–1UCAM Murcia CFAtlético Santa Cruz
Expected goals3.22Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven62% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
63% / 24% / 13%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atlético Santa Cruz win (13.3%)Dubbele Kans1X86.7%1.15
Boven 62% · Onder 38%Goals 2.5Boven62%1.61
Ja 63% · Nee 37%Beide teams scorenJa63%1.59
3.22 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
7.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UCAM Murcia CF win63%1.591.4064.1%
Gelijkspel24%4.173.7523.9%
Atlético Santa Cruz win13%7.697.5012%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UCAM Murcia CF2.09

Thuis share of expected goals 64.9%

Total expected goals3.22Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 62% · Onder 38%

Atlético Santa Cruz1.13

Uit share of expected goals 35.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 63% · Nee 37%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

UCAM Murcia CF

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Atlético Santa Cruz

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Punten0

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
13%
8
Points from supplied form
0
2.09
Expected goals
1.13
UCAM Murcia CFAtlético Santa Cruz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UCAM Murcia CF signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atlético Santa Cruz signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

UCAM Murcia CF vs Atlético Santa Cruz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UCAM Murcia CF gewonnen 63%,Gelijkspel 24%,Atlético Santa Cruz gewonnen 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Boven 2.5 62% · Current selection Boven