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EUR Europe Friendlies · Final ·

Aguilas vs Alcoyano

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score3–0Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst43%
Gelijkspel30%
Uitwinst27%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 43% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst43% selection probability
Projected score2–1AguilasAlcoyano
Expected goals3.18Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven60% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners7.8Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
43% / 30% / 27%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alcoyano win (26.8%)Dubbele Kans1X73.2%1.37
Boven 60% · Onder 40%Goals 2.5Boven60%1.67
Ja 65% · Nee 35%Beide teams scorenJa65%1.54
3.18 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
7.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aguilas win43%2.332.1042.6%
Gelijkspel30%3.332.8831.1%
Alcoyano win27%3.703.4026.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aguilas1.77

Thuis share of expected goals 55.7%

Total expected goals3.18Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 60% · Onder 40%

Alcoyano1.41

Uit share of expected goals 44.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 65% · Nee 35%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Aguilas

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Alcoyano

2.33pts / match
Gespeeld3Wins2Drawn1Losses0Punten7

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
27%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.77
Expected goals
1.41
AguilasAlcoyano
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aguilas signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alcoyano signalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Aguilas vs Alcoyano FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aguilas gewonnen 43%,Gelijkspel 30%,Alcoyano gewonnen 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.18 · Boven 2.5 60% · Current selection Boven