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EUR 欧州親善試合 · Final ·

アギラス vs アルコヤノ

Prediction review

ホーム form
Final score3–0予想 2–1
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利43%
引き分け30%
アウェイ勝利27%
Market-based forecastホーム勝利Tier B · 43% selection probability
Prediction 的中
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利43% selection probability
Projected score2–1アギラスアルコヤノ
Expected goals3.18始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー60% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい65% for the selected side
Expected corners7.8アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
43% / 30% / 27%試合結果ホーム勝利43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes アルコヤノ win (26.8%)ダブルチャンス1X73.2%1.37
オーバー 60% · アンダー 40%Goals 2.5オーバー60%1.67
はい 65% · いいえ 35%両チーム得点はい65%1.54
3.18 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
7.8 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimなし
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
アギラス win43%2.332.1042.6%
引き分け30%3.332.8831.1%
アルコヤノ win27%3.703.4026.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アギラス1.77

ホーム share of expected goals 55.7%

Total expected goals3.18始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 60% · アンダー 40%

アルコヤノ1.41

アウェイ share of expected goals 44.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 65% · いいえ 35%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アギラス

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn3Losses1ポイント6

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アルコヤノ

2.33pts / match
試合数3Wins2Drawn1Losses0ポイント7

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
勝ち probability excluding draw
27%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.77
Expected goals
1.41
アギラスアルコヤノ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アギラス signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アルコヤノ signalホーム matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

アギラス vs アルコヤノ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アギラス 勝ち 43%,引き分け 30%,アルコヤノ 勝ち 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.18 · オーバー 2.5 60% · Current selection オーバー