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INT Saudi Arabia Pro League · Final ·

Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al Fateh SC

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score3–0Prognose 3–1
Borte form
Hjemmeseier70%
Uavgjort19%
Borteseier11%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 70% selection probability
Prediction Vunnet
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier70% selection probability
Projected score3–1Al-Nassr RiyadhAl Fateh SC
Expected goals3.45Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over67% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
70% / 19% / 11%KampresultatHjemmeseier70%1.43
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Fateh SC win (10.9%)Dobbel sjanse1X89.1%1.12
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Ja 44% · Nei 56%Begge lag scorerNei56%1.79
3.45 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
10.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Al-Nassr Riyadh win70%1.43
Uavgjort19%5.26
Al Fateh SC win11%9.09

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al-Nassr Riyadh2.83

Hjemme share of expected goals 82%

Total expected goals3.45Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%

Al Fateh SC0.62

Borte share of expected goals 18%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nei 56%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Al-Nassr Riyadh

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Al Fateh SC

1.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poeng5

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
70%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
11%
10
Points from supplied form
5
2.83
Expected goals
0.62
Al-Nassr RiyadhAl Fateh SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al-Nassr Riyadh signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Fateh SC signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk30% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al Fateh SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 3–1 · 70% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al-Nassr Riyadh vunnet 70%,Uavgjort 19%,Al Fateh SC vunnet 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.45 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over