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INT Szaúd-arábiai Pro League · Final ·

Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al Fateh SC

Prediction review

Hazai form
Final score3–0Előrejelzés 3–1
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem70%
Döntetlen19%
Vendég győzelem11%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 70% selection probability
Prediction Nyert
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem70% selection probability
Projected score3–1Al-Nassr RiyadhAl Fateh SC
Expected goals3.45Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett67% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
70% / 19% / 11%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem70%1.43
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Fateh SC win (10.9%)Dupla esély1X89.1%1.12
Felett 67% · Alatt 33%Goals 2.5Felett67%1.49
Igen 44% · Nem 56%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem56%1.79
3.45 total expected goalsPontos eredmény3–1
10.2 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nem snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityValós odds
Al-Nassr Riyadh win70%1.43
Döntetlen19%5.26
Al Fateh SC win11%9.09

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al-Nassr Riyadh2.83

Hazai share of expected goals 82%

Total expected goals3.45Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 67% · Alatt 33%

Al Fateh SC0.62

Vendég share of expected goals 18%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitIgen 44% · Nem 56%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Al-Nassr Riyadh

2.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontok10

SignalHazai unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Al Fateh SC

1.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontok5

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
70%
Nyert probability excluding draw
11%
10
Points from supplied form
5
2.83
Expected goals
0.62
Al-Nassr RiyadhAl Fateh SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al-Nassr Riyadh signalHazai unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Fateh SC signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk30% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al Fateh SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 3–1 · 70% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al-Nassr Riyadh nyer 70%,Döntetlen 19%,Al Fateh SC nyer 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.45 · 2.5 felett 67% · Current selection Felett