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ENG England League 2 · Kamp ·

Newport County vs Rochdale

Archived pre-match prediction

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.60 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier41%
Uavgjort26%
Borteseier33%
Baseline forecastHjemmeseierTier C · 41% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Newport CountyRochdale
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
41% / 26% / 33%KampresultatHjemmeseier41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Dobbel sjanse1273.7%1.36
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Ja 53% · Nei 47%Begge lag scorerJa53%1.89
2.60 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Newport County win41%2.44
Uavgjort26%3.85
Rochdale win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newport County1.39

Hjemme share of expected goals 53.5%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%

Rochdale1.21

Borte share of expected goals 46.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nei 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Newport County

1.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poeng7

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Rochdale

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poeng6

SignalBorte unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
33%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.39
Expected goals
1.21
Newport CountyRochdale
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newport County signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rochdale signalBorte unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Newport County vs Rochdale FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newport County vunnet 41%,Uavgjort 26%,Rochdale vunnet 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under