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CHE Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion · Kamp ·

Young Boys II vs Lugano II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score3–14.10 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier57%
Uavgjort22%
Borteseier21%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier57% selection probability
Projected score3–1Young Boys IILugano II
Expected goals4.10Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over78% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
57% / 22% / 21%KampresultatHjemmeseier57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lugano II win (21.3%)Dobbel sjanse1X78.7%1.27
Over 78% · Under 22%Goals 2.5Over78%1.28
Ja 68% · Nei 32%Begge lag scorerJa68%1.47
4.10 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
9.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapYoung Boys II winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Young Boys II win57%1.751.6255.6%+1.4 pp
Uavgjort22%4.554.0022.5%-0.5 pp
Lugano II win21%4.764.1021.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Young Boys II2.83

Hjemme share of expected goals 69%

Total expected goals4.10Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 78% · Under 22%

Lugano II1.27

Borte share of expected goals 31%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 68% · Nei 32%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Young Boys II

0.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poeng1

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Lugano II

0.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poeng1

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
21%
1
Points from supplied form
1
2.83
Expected goals
1.27
Young Boys IILugano II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Young Boys II signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lugano II signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Young Boys II vs Lugano II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 3–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Young Boys II vunnet 57%,Uavgjort 22%,Lugano II vunnet 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.10 · Over 2.5 78% · Current selection Over