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FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Final ·

SJK vs IF Gnistan

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score2–2Prognose 2–1
Borte form
Hjemmeseier48%
Uavgjort25%
Borteseier28%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Tapt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier48% selection probability
Projected score2–1SJKIF Gnistan
Expected goals3.59Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over70% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
48% / 25% / 28%KampresultatHjemmeseier48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Dobbel sjanse1275.4%1.33
Over 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Over70%1.43
Ja 68% · Nei 32%Begge lag scorerJa68%1.47
3.59 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.4 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapSJK winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SJK win48%2.081.9547.2%+0.8 pp
Uavgjort25%4.003.7024.9%+0.1 pp
IF Gnistan win28%3.573.3027.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SJK2.13

Hjemme share of expected goals 59.3%

Total expected goals3.59Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 70% · Under 30%

IF Gnistan1.46

Borte share of expected goals 40.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 68% · Nei 32%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

SJK

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poeng6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

IF Gnistan

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poeng9

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
9
2.13
Expected goals
1.46
SJKIF Gnistan
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SJK signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IF Gnistan signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

SJK vs IF Gnistan FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SJK vunnet 48%,Uavgjort 25%,IF Gnistan vunnet 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.59 · Over 2.5 70% · Current selection Over