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KAZ Kazakhstan Premier League · Round 25 ·

FC Astana vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score3–13.94 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier59%
Uavgjort22%
Borteseier19%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier59% selection probability
Projected score3–1FC AstanaOkzhetpes Kokshetau
Expected goals3.94Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over75% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
59% / 22% / 19%KampresultatHjemmeseier59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Okzhetpes Kokshetau win (19.1%)Dobbel sjanse1X80.9%1.24
Over 75% · Under 25%Goals 2.5Over75%1.33
Ja 64% · Nei 36%Begge lag scorerJa64%1.56
3.94 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
9.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapFC Astana winDifference+1.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Astana win59%1.691.5557.4%+1.6 pp
Uavgjort22%4.553.9022.8%-0.8 pp
Okzhetpes Kokshetau win19%5.264.5019.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Astana2.82

Hjemme share of expected goals 71.6%

Total expected goals3.94Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 75% · Under 25%

Okzhetpes Kokshetau1.12

Borte share of expected goals 28.4%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nei 36%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

FC Astana

2.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poeng12

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Okzhetpes Kokshetau

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poeng6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
19%
12
Points from supplied form
6
2.82
Expected goals
1.12
FC AstanaOkzhetpes Kokshetau
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Astana signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Okzhetpes Kokshetau signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

FC Astana vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 3–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Astana vunnet 59%,Uavgjort 22%,Okzhetpes Kokshetau vunnet 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.94 · Over 2.5 75% · Current selection Over