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PRT Portugal U23 League · Final ·

Estrela Amadora U23 vs Leixoes U23

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score0–3Prognose 1–2
Borte form
Hjemmeseier33%
Uavgjort26%
Borteseier41%
Full model forecastBorteseierTier A · 41% selection probability
Prediction Vunnet
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier41% selection probability
Projected score1–2Estrela Amadora U23Leixoes U23
Expected goals2.59Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
33% / 26% / 41%KampresultatBorteseier41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Dobbel sjanse1274.1%1.35
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Ja 48% · Nei 52%Begge lag scorerNei52%1.92
2.59 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
8.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.5%Largest probability gapEstrela Amadora U23 winDifference-1.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estrela Amadora U23 win33%3.032.6034.8%-1.8 pp
Uavgjort26%3.853.5025.9%+0.1 pp
Leixoes U23 win41%2.442.3039.3%+1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estrela Amadora U230.85

Hjemme share of expected goals 32.8%

Total expected goals2.59Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%

Leixoes U231.74

Borte share of expected goals 67.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 48% · Nei 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Estrela Amadora U23

0.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poeng3

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Leixoes U23

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poeng6

SignalHjemme failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
41%
3
Points from supplied form
6
0.85
Expected goals
1.74
Estrela Amadora U23Leixoes U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estrela Amadora U23 signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leixoes U23 signalHjemme failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Estrela Amadora U23 vs Leixoes U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 1–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estrela Amadora U23 vunnet 33%,Uavgjort 26%,Leixoes U23 vunnet 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.59 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under