Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
33% / 26% / 41%Match resultAway win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Double chance1274.1%1.35
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.59 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
8.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin10.5%Largest probability gapEstrela Amadora U23 winDifference-1.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estrela Amadora U23 win33%3.032.6034.8%-1.8 pp
Draw26%3.853.5025.9%+0.1 pp
Leixoes U23 win41%2.442.3039.3%+1.7 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 32.8%
Total expected goals2.59Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%
Away share of expected goals 67.2%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchEstrela Amadora U23
LLLLW
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchLeixoes U23
DDDWL
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6
SignalHome failed to score: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
33%
Win probability excluding draw
41%3
Points from supplied form
60.85
Expected goals
1.74Estrela Amadora U23Leixoes U23
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Estrela Amadora U23 vs Leixoes U23 FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 41% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Estrela Amadora U23 win 33%，Draw 26%，Leixoes U23 win 41%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.59 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under。